This week, take a listen to Matthew Gardner, Windermere’s Chief Economist as he discusses the current state of the housing market.
He takes a deep dive into interest rates, price appreciation and where the market is headed.
You can watch his video HERE
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There is half of a month of inventory on the market. In other words, at the current pace of sales, it would take just two weeks to sell all of the homes currently listed for sale along the Front Range.
By definition, a market is balanced when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory. Anything less than that is a seller’s market.
The current inventory levels give us confidence about the future of price growth along the Front Range.
While we expect the pace of price appreciation to slow, the low supply of properties insulates us against any sort of price decline.
The post Half A Month appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
There is half of a month of inventory on the market. In other words, at the current pace of sales, it would take just two weeks to sell all of the homes currently listed for sale along the Front Range.
By definition, a market is balanced when there is 4 to 6 months of inventory. Anything less than that is a seller’s market.
The current inventory levels give us confidence about the future of price growth along the Front Range.
While we expect the pace of price appreciation to slow, the low supply of properties insulates us against any sort of price decline.
The post Half A Month appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
This is not an April Fool’s joke.
Average prices in Metro Denver just exceeded $700,000 in Metro Denver. Larimer County isn’t far behind.
For the month of March, the average residential sales price in the 5-county Metro Area was $704,000. This does not include Boulder County.
Larimer County was $691,000 and we expect to see an average exceeding $700,000 in the very near future.
It’s also interesting to note the average price for properties currently listed for sale and not sold yet. In Larimer County it is $848,000 and in Metro Denver it is $1,100,000.
You might be asking, why have prices appreciated to this level? Quite simply, supply and demand.
The Front Range has a healthy, growing economy plus an incredibly high quality of life. Meanwhile, standing inventory is low which results in upward pressure on prices.
The post No Foolin’ appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
The standing inventory of residential properties currently for sale is staggeringly low.
The number of active properties for sale is almost 90% below the average for this time of year.
In Metro Denver, there are 1,144 residential properties for sale today.
In Larimer County, there are 136 and in Weld County there are 174.
Current inventory along the Front Range is essentially half of what it was one year ago.
The low standing inventory bolsters our belief that nothing resembling a decline in housing prices is on the horizon. The low supply will continue to put upward pressure on prices.
It is time to register for our annual Market Forecast with Chief Economist Matthew Gardner. This year the event will be hosted online on Thursday February 3rd from 11:00 to 12:00.
You can register at www.ColoradoForecast.com
The post Standing Low appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
Many of our clients wonder if the current pace of price growth can continue. Some even ask if prices will decline this year.
Based on researching the Case-Shiller Home Price index and the National Association of Realtors home inventory data, there must be at least 6 months of inventory in a market for prices to have any chance of declining. We wrapped up 2021 with about 2 weeks of inventory across Larimer County, Weld County and Metro Denver. This marks a 43%-46% decrease in inventory as compared to December 2020.
The dwindling supply and the rising prices have led to a lot of questions about the future of the housing market. Is there a market crash on the horizon? Is there a housing bubble that’s about the burst? The answer is no. Although it is unlikely that the market can continue at this pace indefinitely, all signs point to a healthy housing market in 2022.
The post Housing Inventory appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
It’s not just the availability of materials impacting home builders today, it’s also the availability of labor.
The market could use more inventory. Home builders are trying to catch up.
You’ve likely read the stories about the cost and availability of materials making an impact on home builders’ ability to keep pace with demand.
It turns out they have another factor impacting them as well- labor.
There are more construction job openings than ever before in history.
This is according to a new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
There are 410,000 job openings in the Construction Sector.
A year ago there were 253,000.
If you know of anyone looking for work, there is a good chance a home builder could use the help.
The post Construction Openings appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
A common phrase that is being used right now to describe the market is ‘no inventory.’
‘There’s no inventory’ is said frequently among those inside and outside of the real estate industry.
The problem with this phrase is that it is untrue.
There is inventory. Meaning, there are a significant number of new listings hitting the market.
However, there is low standing inventory. Meaning, the listings that do hit the market don’t stick around for very long before they are purchased.
Standing inventory, which is the number of active properties on the market, is down roughly 70% along the Front Range.
However, the number of new listings coming on the market is essentially:
So, there is inventory available, it just sells quickly because demand is historically high right now.
The post Words Matter appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
The economic research blog called “Calculated Risk” just completed a fascinating study on home prices.
Specifically, they looked at the correlation between home price growth and inventory.
They used price data from the Case-Shiller Home Price Index and inventory data from the National Association of Realtors.
No surprise, they found that the lower the inventory the higher the home price growth. Also no surprise, as inventory goes up, price growth slows down.
This all correlates with simple economic rules of supply and demand.
The interesting part of their research is this: at a certain level of inventory, prices have the potential to go down.
That level, according to their research, is six months of inventory.
That means, prices don’t have a chance of decreasing in a market until there is at least 6 months of inventory available for sale.
To put that in perspective, today there is two weeks of inventory on the market along the Front Range.
So, there would need to be 12 times the amount of homes for sale on the market for prices to even have a chance to go down.
The post Calculated Risk appeared first on Windermere Colorado REALTORS.
When the housing market favors sellers, a seller can expect ideal conditions for selling their home. However, that’s not to say that a seller’s market doesn’t come with its own unique set of challenges for parties on both sides of the transaction. That’s why it’s critical for buyers and sellers to work with an agent who not only understands their wants and needs but who can also help them navigate highly competitive market conditions.
A seller’s market occurs when demand exceeds supply. When inventory is limited, competition amongst buyers is fierce. Median sales prices increase, days on market decrease, and homes commonly receive multiple offers, often over their original asking price.
Though demand is high in a seller’s market, staging and making any necessary repairs are still important steps to take before hitting the market. An agent can help a seller make important decisions about which repairs and updates help add value to the home.
When it comes to offers and negotiations in a seller’s market, sellers have the leverage. It’s common for homes to fetch more than their asking price with multiple offers on the table. Though prices are being driven up by demand, a seller may choose to list their home at or just below fair market value with the hopes of starting a bidding war. Because competition is so high, buyers may be willing to waive an inspection contingency to help make their offer stand out. Agents can help sellers decide whether they should conduct a pre-listing inspection, which sometimes helps the seller get more offers and command a higher price.
With multiple offers on the table, it may be tempting to simply choose the one with the highest figure; however, the best offer is also the one that removes risk and aligns with the seller’s goals. Whether that entails waived contingencies, a shorter closing window, or an all-cash offer, in a seller’s market, the seller has the power to choose. Sellers should fully review each offer with the help of their agent before proceeding.
Buyers in a seller’s market must act fast. Due to the high level of competition, they must be prepared for a frustrating scenario where their offers may not win out. This emphasizes the importance of working with a buyer’s agent. In a seller’s market, it’s more likely that the buying process will include such factors as seller review dates and escalation clauses. A buyer’s agent will help navigate these challenges while working with their client to make their offer stand out. They will formulate a strategy, comparing their client’s wish list and budget against the limited number of homes available and proceeding accordingly. A buyer’s agent will also set the expectation that, due to the competitive nature of the market, finding the right home may take longer than expected.
In a seller’s market, the buyer is at a disadvantage when it comes to negotiations. The chance of getting a contingent offer is minimal and pushing for certain closing dates and specific repairs may do more harm than good to their offer. A cash offer has significant power in a seller’s market. If a buyer can make a cash-heavy or even all-cash offer, it is likely to stand out to the seller. It gives the buyer more buying power and greatly increases their chances of winning a bidding war.
For more information on the conditions of your local market, visit our website for Quarterly Real Estate Market Updates from our Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner. For assistance planning a home sale or purchase, connect with a Windermere Real Estate agent here: Connect With an Agent
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